elysium wrote:Look at that. The trough got her. Irene is going to recurve after all.









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elysium wrote:The trough now has Irene in its firm clasp, and she will soon begin heading due north and then northeast out to sea.
...Today's recurvature of Irene eliminates that possibility as she will quickly now be swept out to sea.
Air Force Met wrote:elysium wrote:The trough now has Irene in its firm clasp, and she will soon begin heading due north and then northeast out to sea.
...Today's recurvature of Irene eliminates that possibility as she will quickly now be swept out to sea.
Wait...weren't you the one who said "It's a certainty that the scenario just outlined detailing a sharp turn to the west will gain serious credibility on Monday, and will likely be the official forecast on Tuesday. There is no way that Irene is going to recurve."...and that Irene would be approaching min hurricane status by Tuesday?
What happened to "there is no way?" I don't understand...you're kinda all over the map here. If you are going to change your mind...you need to omit words like "certainty"..."no way"...done deal...and the like. Otherwise...you'll get no street cred and all you'll be doing is taking up space in the blogosphere.
InimanaChoogamaga wrote:The blogosphere? This is a forum not a blog. I read somewhere that blogs will eventually replace forums because once everyone has a blog the discussion will just travel along the blog posts and forums will no longer be needed. But that's off topic. What Elysium is posting is not what the NHC is saying. They said they can't rule out a US landfall within five days or so.
If the ridge weakens as Irene is heading towards, lets say, the NC coast...it'll stay offshore...going further east. Wouldn't be able to hit the Chesseapeake/Delmarva area, head on atleast.ThunderMate wrote:Im thinking that a serious threat is on the horizon for the outer banks into Southeast Va. As the ridge has no reason to weaken i think an east coast hit is unstoppable. If anything thjat allows a little weakness in the ridge then i see Irene taking a trek right on up the Chesapeake Bay and hitting the Delmarva hard.
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