Thunder44 wrote:Did you guys notice that "elysium" sounds a little like "asylum"?
Yes!!!


Anyway, based on the 5 pm NHC discussion, I'd be very surprised if this doesn't affect some part of the U.S.E.C. at least to a degree.
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jason0509 wrote:Thunder44 wrote:Did you guys notice that "elysium" sounds a little like "asylum"?
Yes!!!![]()
I thought I was the only one that noticed that.
Anyway, based on the 5 pm NHC discussion, I'd be very surprised if this doesn't affect some part of the U.S.E.C. at least to a degree.
mahicks wrote:jason0509 wrote:Thunder44 wrote:Did you guys notice that "elysium" sounds a little like "asylum"?
Yes!!!![]()
I thought I was the only one that noticed that.
Anyway, based on the 5 pm NHC discussion, I'd be very surprised if this doesn't affect some part of the U.S.E.C. at least to a degree.
Elysium is latin for "heaven" or "in the clouds" Greek Heaven to be exact...
I put these forcasts "in the clouds"
Andrew92 wrote:Alright, back to Irene.
wxman57 wrote:ncdowneast wrote:going to be curious what the models say at 00z tonight.They have been all over the place with this storm and even more interesting will be what recon finds tomorrow.Still thinking a SC/NC/VA hit but no way to know for sure
Which models are you waiting to see at 00Z? Do you mean the BAMs? For a storm in the subtropics, you do not want to use the BAMM/BAMD/BAMS. They are very crude, basic models that don't use any physics. NHC uses them for a general estimate of the movement of developing tropical waves in the deep tropics. I don't know why they would continue to run them for a system so far north where the atmosphere is quite dynamic. However, I do look to see what the DSHIPS is predicting for intensity to see if there are any trends.
Up north, you want to look at the dynamic global models, like maybe the GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET, ECMWF (though it's not been doing too well with tropical systems), GFS (if it can initialize a storm right), etc. Those runs for 00Z won't be out for quite a while.
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