Eastern Pacific on Fire!!!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 122240
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT FRI AUG 12 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
FERNANDA...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... AND ON TROPICAL STORM GREG...LOCATED ABOUT
630 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE
PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART


The Eastern Pacific is racing fast!!! I like the system near the GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. The models show it developing.

Come on Atlatnic are you scared. The Eastern Pacific is about ready to show you good.

[Scorpion]

The EPAC has nothing on the Atlantic. No major hurricanes, and the ATL will soon be 3 in the lead.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If that system in the central Atlatnic starts to fire convection near its center. Then we will know then that it is going to form. I'm watching closely.

[hurricanefreak1988]

Come on Atlatnic are you scared. The Eastern Pacific is about ready to show you good.

Heck no. We're not scared at all. Matt, I wouldn't be talking much trash, because in about a week or two, you're done for.

Atlantic Ocean- 2005 Hurricane Season Champions... go ahead and get that banner ready.

[Wacahootaman]

Not a good sign for the Atlantic and Carabean getting active if eastpac is active.

I have noticed this happen several times before

[Derek Ortt]

does it really matter which basin wins. Not like this is a sporting event or anything. Much less work for me if the EPAC is the active basin. Until the end of September, I am only required to forecast for the Atl

[btangy]

The increase in activity in the NE Pacific coincides with a reversal of the 200mb velocity potential anomalies over the region.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/vpot_tlon.html

The area of negative velocity potential anomalies (favorable for increased convection) has been slow to propogate, so it isn't a true MJO signal. I expect once those negative anomalies reach the Atlantic (perhaps in about a week), there will be quite a burst of activity, much like the NE Pacific is having right now.

[hurricanefreak1988]

does it really matter which basin wins. Not like this is a sporting event or anything. Much less work for me if the EPAC is the active basin. Until the end of September, I am only required to forecast for the Atl

No worries, it's all in fun. Just something to make the hurricane season even more exciting to follow.