Yeah for sure. It wont be long. It will be interesting to see how much more if she has dropped in pressure from the data fom recon just a little while ago.SamSagnella wrote:It will be very interesting to see what the recon flight finds pressure-wise in its final pass of the mission.
Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5
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tampaflwx wrote:i fear more for tampa or sarasota, because if she speeds up she will be pulled more toward the north rapidly and THEN make the hard right turn
I am definitely with you on that one...I think that the models have consistently been too far south with their landfall locations. I had a landfall near Venice Beach at 1030pm yesterday, and I see very little reason to change that now.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=77146
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- Bocadude85
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tampaflwx wrote:is it just me or does wilma appear to be speeding up ever so slightly with each frame as it continues its more northern progression?
Yes, she does look like she's picked up a little more speed and is definitely moving NNW to North now. So much for this slowing or stalling around the Yucatan.
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Thunder44 wrote:Yes, she does look like she's picked up a little more speed and is definitely moving NNW to North now. So much for this slowing or stalling around the Yucatan.
As I stated earlier, the usually reliable GFDL seems to have gone on vacation in the Caribbean and left its retarded second cousin at the helm. It is borderline rediculous how poor the models as a whole have performed when faced with Wilma --- did anyone else notice that they never seemed to have been initialized at the proper pressure (i.e. 882mb on Wed).
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tampastorm wrote:So according the the "models" no. Your opinion? Sure looks is to me. I am not talking a direct hit, but maybe further north then thought?
I've been saying further north than SoFLA all along, but this is not an 'official' forecast by any means. Trust the NHC above all -- theyre the best in the biz...
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- Ground_Zero_92
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tampastorm wrote:So according the the "models" no. Your opinion? Sure looks is to me. I am not talking a direct hit, but maybe further north then thought?
The movement to the east and towards Florida has to due with Wilma's interaction with the front. A hurricane cannot plow through a cold front, so when the the front catches Wilma is the key point on the angle of approach.
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