ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.9775

#381 Postby RattleMan » Tue Nov 04, 2008 10:50 pm

05/0300z, final for Polo.

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.72%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.88%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.06%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.13%
   Gustav   18.455   14.11%
   Hanna   10.32   7.89%
   Ike   38.245   29.24%
   Josephine   2.79   2.13%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.34%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.86%
   TOTAL   130.785   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   47.8075
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.9775

#382 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Nov 05, 2008 8:01 pm

Go to http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/ for a discussion of the total ACE for the entire Northern Hemisphere which is very much below climo for early November. Not only EPAC but also WPAC have been very low in ACE.

Steve
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.9775

#383 Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Nov 05, 2008 9:08 pm

Aslkahuna wrote:Go to http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/ for a discussion of the total ACE for the entire Northern Hemisphere which is very much below climo for early November. Not only EPAC but also WPAC have been very low in ACE.

Steve


I know the Pacific was in a La Nina phase, which makes it less active. Also, I think PDO is in a cooler phase too.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.9775

#384 Postby Aslkahuna » Thu Nov 06, 2008 2:27 am

EPAC is usually lower in activity during ENSO cold phases (and/or -PDO) but the low activity numbers for WPAC are not so easy to explain.

Steve
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=130.785 / EPAC=82.9775

#385 Postby RattleMan » Thu Nov 06, 2008 3:42 am

06/0900z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.69%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.88%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.06%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.17%
   Fay   6.715   5.13%
   Gustav   18.455   14.10%
   Hanna   10.32   7.88%
   Ike   38.245   29.22%
   Josephine   2.79   2.13%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.34%
   Laura   0.8625   0.66%
   Marco   1.21   0.92%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.86%
   Paloma   0.1225   0.09%
   TOTAL   130.9075   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   47.93
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL= 130.9075 / EPAC=82.9775

#386 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 06, 2008 11:14 am

ACE numbers updated as of the 10 AM EST advisory of Paloma at 40 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 0.2825
Total  131.0675
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=131.0675 / EPAC=82.9775

#387 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 06, 2008 4:25 pm

Updated ACE numbers for the Atlantic 2008 season as of the 4 PM EST advisory of Paloma at 55 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 0.5850
Total  131.37
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=131.37 / EPAC=82.9775

#388 Postby RattleMan » Thu Nov 06, 2008 10:17 pm

07/0300z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.59%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.55%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.86%
   Dolly   5.3125   4.03%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.16%
   Fay   6.715   5.10%
   Gustav   18.455   14.00%
   Hanna   10.32   7.83%
   Ike   38.245   29.02%
   Josephine   2.79   2.12%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.32%
   Laura   0.8625   0.65%
   Marco   1.21   0.92%
   Nana   0.3675   0.28%
   Omar   7.67   5.82%
   Paloma   1.0075   0.76%
   TOTAL   131.7925   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   48.815
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=131.7925 / EPAC=82.9775

#389 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 07, 2008 6:39 am

Updated ACE numbers at 4 AM EST advisory of Paloma at 70 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 1.4975
Total  Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 1.4975
Total  132.2825

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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=132.2825 / EPAC=82.9775

#390 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 07, 2008 10:12 am

Updated ACE numbers as of the 10 AM EST advisory of Paloma at 75 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 2.0600
Total  132.845
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=132.845 / EPAC=82.9775

#391 Postby RattleMan » Fri Nov 07, 2008 4:08 pm

07/2100z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.58%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.25%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.82%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.97%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.14%
   Fay   6.715   5.02%
   Gustav   18.455   13.81%
   Hanna   10.32   7.72%
   Ike   38.245   28.61%
   Josephine   2.79   2.09%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.27%
   Laura   0.8625   0.65%
   Marco   1.21   0.91%
   Nana   0.3675   0.27%
   Omar   7.67   5.74%
   Paloma   2.87   2.15%
   TOTAL   133.655   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   50.6775
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=133.655 / EPAC=82.9775

#392 Postby RattleMan » Fri Nov 07, 2008 10:06 pm

08/0300z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.57%
BT   Bertha   28.4   21.09%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.80%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.95%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.13%
   Fay   6.715   4.99%
   Gustav   18.455   13.71%
   Hanna   10.32   7.66%
   Ike   38.245   28.40%
   Josephine   2.79   2.07%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.25%
   Laura   0.8625   0.64%
   Marco   1.21   0.90%
   Nana   0.3675   0.27%
   Omar   7.67   5.70%
   Paloma   3.87   2.87%
   TOTAL   134.655   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   51.6775
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=135.8 / EPAC=82.9775

#393 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2008 10:09 am

Updated Atlantic ACE numbers as of the 10 AM EST advisory of Paloma at 120 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 6.5200
Total  137.305
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=137.305 / EPAC=82.9775

#394 Postby RattleMan » Sat Nov 08, 2008 3:58 pm

08/2100z:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.56%
BT   Bertha   28.4   20.45%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.71%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.83%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.10%
   Fay   6.715   4.84%
   Gustav   18.455   13.29%
   Hanna   10.32   7.43%
   Ike   38.245   27.54%
   Josephine   2.79   2.01%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.15%
   Laura   0.8625   0.62%
   Marco   1.21   0.87%
   Nana   0.3675   0.26%
   Omar   7.67   5.52%
   Paloma   8.0825   5.82%
   TOTAL   138.8675   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   55.89
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=138.8675 / EPAC=82.9775

#395 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2008 10:39 pm

Updated ACE numbers as of the 10 PM EST advisory of Paloma at 100kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 9.0825
Total  139.8675
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=139.8675 / EPAC=82.9775

#396 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 09, 2008 6:40 am

Updated Atlantic ACE numbers as of the 4 AM EST advisory of Paloma at 75 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 9.6450
Total  140.43
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=140.43 / EPAC=82.9775

#397 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 09, 2008 10:12 am

Updated Atlantic ACE numbers as of the 10 AM EST advisory of Paloma at 50 kts.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Best track 28.4000
03L (Cristobal) Best track 3.7650
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 10.3200
09L (Ike) Operational 38.2450
10L (Josephine) Operational 2.7900
11L (Kyle) Operational 4.3725
12L (Laura) Operational 0.8625
13L (Marco) Operational 1.2100
14L (Nana) Operational 0.3675
15L (Omar) Operational 7.6700
16L (NONAME) Operational 0.0000
17L (Paloma) Operational 9.8950
Total  140.68
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=140.68 / EPAC=82.9775

#398 Postby RattleMan » Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:59 pm

09/2100z, final ACE for now:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.55%
BT   Bertha   28.4   20.19%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.68%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.78%
   Edouard   1.5275   1.09%
   Fay   6.715   4.77%
   Gustav   18.455   13.12%
   Hanna   10.32   7.34%
   Ike   38.245   27.19%
   Josephine   2.79   1.98%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.11%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
   Marco   1.21   0.86%
   Nana   0.3675   0.26%
   Omar   7.67   5.45%
   Paloma   9.895   7.03%
   TOTAL   140.68   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.25%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.80%
   Fausto   10.125   12.20%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.94%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.64%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.30%
   Lowell   2.445   2.95%
   Marie   4.935   5.95%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.32%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   82.9775   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   57.7025
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=140.68 / EPAC=82.9775

#399 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 09, 2008 4:09 pm

The ACE numbers for the Atlantic will stay at 140.68 after Paloma was downgraded to a TD.With the 2008 season numbers at 16/8/5 and the ACE numbers over 140,I believe that this has been an hyperactive season.I know that some may disagree but that is what I think about this season in terms of tropical net activity.
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Re: ACE 2008 numbers so far=ATL=140.68 / EPAC=82.9775

#400 Postby RattleMan » Wed Nov 19, 2008 12:42 am

Update per Edouard, Marco, and Marie TCRs:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   0.55%
BT   Bertha   28.4   20.15%
BT   Cristobal   3.765   2.67%
   Dolly   5.3125   3.77%
BT   Edouard   1.6975   1.20%
   Fay   6.715   4.76%
   Gustav   18.455   13.09%
   Hanna   10.32   7.32%
   Ike   38.245   27.13%
   Josephine   2.79   1.98%
   Kyle   4.3725   3.10%
   Laura   0.8625   0.61%
BT   Marco   1.3175   0.93%
   Nana   0.3675   0.26%
   Omar   7.67   5.44%
   Paloma   9.895   7.02%
   TOTAL   140.9575   
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.00%
BT   Boris   7.675   9.24%
   Cristina   1.21   1.46%
BT   Douglas   0.6125   0.74%
BT   Elida   11.45   13.78%
   Fausto   10.125   12.19%
   Genevieve   5.76   6.93%
BT   Hernan   12.145   14.62%
   Iselle   1.295   1.56%
   Julio   1.1775   1.42%
BT   Karina   0.245   0.29%
   Lowell   2.445   2.94%
BT   Marie   5.045   6.07%
   Norbert   19.3525   23.29%
   Odile   2.74   3.30%
   Polo   0.98   1.18%
   TOTAL   83.0875   
         
   Atlantic   leads by   57.87
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